Aurora Prediction Alert

Thursday, 6th December 2018

Jess Weatherson

aurora near hotel ranga iceland 5 nov 2018 sb

The solar storm predicted to occur between 1-4 December 2018 did indeed happen and once again incredible northern lights displays where visible. The great news for keen aurora observers is that as long as the same coronal hole remains open…

“The latest prediction came true and we even had great weather!”
Saevar Bragasen, Iceland

Aurora Sightings in Iceland & Sweden, 1-2 December 2018

Images courtesy of Saevar Bragasen at Hotel Ranga, Iceland & Aurora Sky Station web cam, Abisko in Sweden.

What is the prediction based on?

We’re not dabbling in dark arts, there is science behind this behaviour. In early October 2018 a large coronal hole sent solar wind hurtling towards the earth which left lucky spectators with a spine-tingling aurora borealis show. Based on the solar cycle experts knew this event was highly likely to re-occur around 27 days later and it did exactly that! This cyclical pattern will continue until the hole closes.

“Last time around, in early November, the solar wind from the coronal hole arrived a day late but the wait was worth it because we were treated to a gorgeous display that lasted for three nights. Something similar is to be expected the first few nights of December, around 1-4 December.”
Saevar Helgi Bragason

The current coronal hole has now been open for five solar revolutions resulting in great aurora displays in August, September, October, November and early December. The initial occurrence in August was less spectacular for observers as it was so early in the season when the skies weren’t completely dark.

This doesn’t mean that the aurora will only occur at this time. Far from it, aurora sightings are possible any night when the skies are dark enough and if weather conditions are favourable. While science allows accurate predictions to be made about the intensity of a display, the weather must also be compliant helping to preserve the mystery and magic of the aurora… it’s still all about location, location, location!

Insider Knowledge

Saevar Helgi Bragason, Icelandic Astronomer, best-selling author and radio broadcaster is the resident expert at one of our best selling properties, Hotel Ranga. Watch the video below as Saevar guides you through the mysterious northern lights, what causes them and how to put yourself in the best position for optimal viewing.

Saevar’s website Aurora Forecast offers real-time data to steer you in the right direction for a successful northern lights hunt!

Aurora Sightings in Iceland, Sweden & Norway, 5-6 November 2018

Images courtesy of Saevar Bragasen at Hotel Ranga, Iceland; Lyngen Experience Lodge, Norway; Camp Ripan & Aurora Sky Station, Abisko in Sweden.

Contact our northern lights experts

We’ve been sending clients to see the northern lights for 35 years and know the very best places to stay to increase your chances of the best aurora sightings. Call our experts or make an enquiry today to find out more. Plus SAVE ££s on last minute Iceland holidays!

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